Rangers’ key to Falkirk win is limiting turnovers – as the numbers prove

Rangers have to limit turnovers against Falkirk on Sunday, as John McGlynn’s side top the Scottish Premiership in numerous key metrics that will punish them if they do.

The finishing line is beginning to appear on the horizon, but Rangers must ensure they keep their head down and continue putting one foot after the other.

Nobody inside of Ibrox will be getting ahead of themselves, but with just one game to go before the final post-split five, Gers fans are dreaming of seeing their team crowned champions of Scotland for the first time since 2021.

Poised and ready to strike as they sit just one place and point below leaders Hearts heading into matchday 33, Danny Rohl needs as many players at their best in these final few weeks of term.

Falkirk are next up for Rangers on Sunday afternoon, and Gers can’t really afford any slip ups from here onwards if they want to be standing at the summit come 16 May.

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What Rangers must keep the ball against Falkirk

Falkirk could be a banana skin for Rangers, as the Ibrox outfit haven’t beaten the Bairns in any of their last three league meetings.

John McGlynn has performed a superb job since being appointed Falkirk manager back in May 2022, taking them from League One to Premiership football in the space of three seasons between 2022-2025.

Falkirk’s league finishes under McGlynnLeagueFinish
2022-23League One2nd
2023-24League One1st
2024-25Championship1st

Winning a place in the top-half of the Premiership split in their first season back at the level in 2025-26 is a brilliant achievement too, and they look set to keep progressing under McGlynn in the top flight.

So, they’re sure to give Rangers a real good game on Sunday, and if Rohl’s side aren’t careful in possession, then McGlynn’s men have the numbers to prove that they will make them pay.

Indeed, as per Sofascore, no team in the Scottish Premiership this season has more accurate long balls played per game than Falkirk’s 22.2.

Rangers predicted lineup vs Falkirk.
Credit: Breaking Media

They also lead the league in tackles won per game too with 18.7, and are only second to Dundee United (10.8) for interceptions made per game as well with 9.1.

On top of this, only Celtic (27) and Hearts (15) have hit the woodwork more times than Falkirk’s 12 this term, showing how unlucky they’ve been and the potential they have in front of goal to hurt teams with a bit more luck.

Where Rangers can show their dominance vs Falkirk

Rangers will be the favourites heading in to Sunday’s game with Falkirk, and rightly so.

Gers are the better side, it’s just about whether they can protect the ball when they have it and limit the amount of opportunities Falkirk have to lean into their league-leading ability to break-up play.

There is another department where Rangers are stronger than Falkirk in too, and that’s duel-winning.

As per Sofascore, Rangers have won 52.5 per cent of their total duels per game, with a 53.4 per cent ground duel win rate and a 50.5 per cent win rate in aerial duels respectively.

Falkirk are unbeaten in their last three league games vs Rangers
Credit: Breaking Media

Meanwhile, Falkirk have won just 49.8 per cent of their total duels per match this season, with a 50.6 per cent ground duel win rate and a 48.3 per cent win rate in the air respectively.

So, there’s no excuse for Rangers not to win the majority of individual battles across the pitch this weekend.

Updated 24/7 with expert analysis from the heart of Govan.