US-based polling and data analysis website FiveThirtyEight has predicted that Rangers are 88% likely to win the 2020-21 Scottish Premiership and they think it will be won by a monster 12 points.

The Gers currently have a 13-point lead over Old Firm rivals Celtic and have won their last eight league matches, scoring 45 goals and conceding just three in 16 matches since the start of the Scottish Premiership season.

FiveThirtyEight‘s model has had Rangers as most likely to win the title for a number of weeks now, but with Celtic taking just one win from their last five league matches, the Gers have become overwhelming favourites.


The current projection forecasts Steven Gerrard’s side as finishing the season with 97 points and a goal difference of +80, in addition to a Soccer Power Index of 69.0. The model thinks Celtic will end the season on 85 points.

The model has given the Gers and Celtic the same offensive rating of 2.0, but rates Rangers as having the much better defence, with a defensive rating of 0.9 to the Hoops’ 1.3.

Meanwhile, it gives Rangers a better than 99% chance of qualifying for the Champions League and less than 1% chance of being relegated.


It took a while for some pundits to come around, but increasingly everything is pointing towards Rangers winning the Scottish Premiership title for the first time since 2011.

With Celtic going for their 10th title in a row, there was speculation that the Gers could crack under pressure as the season wore on, but they simply look like the better side.

While Neil Lennon’s team have taken just one point from five Europa League group stages matches, Gerrard’s side are top of Group D.

The Gers have an outstanding record at both ends of the pitch, scoring 16 goals without reply in their last three league matches.

Furthermore, when the two teams matched up in the league in October, Rangers were the much better side and won 2-0, preventing Celtic from taking a single shot on target.

In other Rangers news, three things we learned from Rangers 3-2 win V Standard Liege


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